Young voters show a small but possibly important shift toward Trump

AP, November 6 — AP VoteCast data indicates that Trump and Harris’ coalitions appeared largely similar to the 2020 race, with Harris’ coalition largely resembling the diverse group that President Biden assembled four years ago.

Preliminary AP VoteCast findings, however, hints at some shifts among demographic groups that could be meaningful, including among younger voters.

Younger voters have had their political lives shaped by the presence of Trump, now in his third presidential election. Voters under age 30 are a fraction of the total electorate. But about half of them supported Harris, compared to the roughly 6 in 10 who backed Biden in 2020. Slightly more than 4 in 10 young voters went for Trump, up from about one-third in 2020.